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Abhimanyu Rathi's avatar

Such an under researched article, I even dropped a message to Basil on this. It gets some fundamental aspects of carbon markets materially wrong, which can mislead readers and investors.

The biggest issue is the conflation of voluntary carbon markets with compliance systems. India’s Carbon Credit Trading Scheme is not a blanket requirement for companies to “offset” emissions. It is an intensity-based compliance mechanism for a defined set of obligated entities. Presenting it as broad, forced demand for carbon credits is simply incorrect.

Similarly, the linkage to EU regulations is misrepresented. Mechanisms like CBAM do not require companies to buy carbon credits to keep exporting. They require emissions reporting and payment for embedded carbon. These are very different instruments, and conflating them creates a false demand narrative.

The statement that “carbon credits became mandatory for ~490 companies” is also inaccurate. What is mandatory are compliance targets under a regulated framework, not participation in an open carbon credit market as implied here.

The buyer profile described (small exporters with 1–50 employees) does not align with how either compliance or voluntary markets function today. Compliance demand is concentrated among notified, emission-intensive entities, not SMEs in general.

There are also unsubstantiated claims such as “largest carbon registry in India” and broad market sizing statements that need clearer grounding.

The infrastructure gap highlighted is real, and the opportunity for better market rails exists. But the current framing overstates regulatory demand, misrepresents policy mechanisms, and blurs critical distinctions between market segments. That makes the overall thesis directionally interesting, but factually weak, inaccurate and very false.

Bad story.

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